EV / pack $3.49
vs
Sealed market $8.00
Return rate 44%
KEEP SEALEDOpening returns 44% of the sealed price on average — you pay $4.51/pack for the fun.
Where the EV comes from
| Slot | Odds / pack | Avg value | EV share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulk (commons & uncommons) | every pack | — | $0.10 |
| Double Rare | 20% | $1.39 | $0.28 |
| Ultra Rare | 1 in 11 | $4.63 | $0.42 |
| Illustration Rare | 1 in 12 | $17.07 | $1.42 |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1 in 80 | $80.63 | $1.01 |
| Hyper Rare | 1 in 100 | $8.42 | $0.08 |
| Rare | 60% | $0.29 | $0.17 |
| Total EV per pack | $3.49 | ||
Avg value = mean TCGplayer market price of all cards in that tier. The hit slot is one draw per pack; leftover probability lands on a plain Rare.
Top cards by market price
Greninja ex Special Illustration Rare $400.95
Perrin Special Illustration Rare $184.83
Eevee Illustration Rare $90.68
Carmine Special Illustration Rare $71.39
Chansey Illustration Rare $60.60
Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex Special Illustration Rare $48.64
Lana's Aid Special Illustration Rare $41.28
Hisuian Growlithe Illustration Rare $33.53
Sinistcha ex Special Illustration Rare $33.30
Kieran Special Illustration Rare $32.22